This one is a classic. So simple, yet so effective. If you're swing trading SP500, don't consider 3 consecutive negative days a bearish signal - it's a bullish signal. If you enter on the open of the 4th day, together with an Internal Bar Strength condition and exit in 5 trading days you have a 64% winrate with a 2.55 gain/loss ratio.
Entry condition
Three consecutive days with lower close
Internal Bar Strength indicator is below 0.08
Exit condition
Sell five days after entry
Here's the equity chart from Aug 1990 until today
It's a smooth equity curve with long periods with no major drawdowns
Statistics (Aug 1996 - today)
63.58% winrate
151 trades
3008 points gained
286 points max drawdown
15.08% time in market
2.55 Gain/Loss Ratio
Positive returns in 33 of 35 years
I think it's worth nothing that this strategy has barely any drawdown at all and that it's only 15% in market. Combine this swing strategy with some other strategies to leverage your capital when the strategy is not in market, and you will overachieve the index without doubt.
The ProRealTimeâ„¢ code
DEFPARAM CumulateOrders = False
IBS = (Close - Low) / (High - Low)
IF (Close < Close[1]) AND (Close[1] < Close[2]) AND (Close[2] < Close[3]) AND (IBS < 0.08) THEN
BUY 1 SHARES AT MARKET
entryBar = BarIndex
ENDIF
IF LONGONMARKET AND (BarIndex > tradeindex + 5) THEN
SELL 1 SHARES AT MARKET
ENDIF
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